Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
AWAY Backa Topola
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola edged past Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 63% of the ball to Backa Topola's 37%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Backa Topola?

Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Backa Topola in the Friendlies on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 48%, draw 25%, Backa Topola 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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