Bolivar 2-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 11 Jul 2025

📅11/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-17.8pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+51% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
272 Passes 201
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
27.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
25.11.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 5-3 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.07.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
22.10.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 4-3 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
01.05.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-2 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
2-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.30 xG 1.06
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
344 Passes 124
91% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar edged past Nacional Potosi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 71% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 29%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.30 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bolivar and 2.50 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Bolivar 2-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 51%, draw 26%, Nacional Potosi 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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