Bolivar 5-3 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.97/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.75
+31% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
381 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 74%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.7 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
266 Passes 212
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
22.10.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 4-3 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
01.05.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-2 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
16.10.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.10.2021 Bolivar Bolivar 4-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
12.08.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
5-3
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.27 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
280 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar beat Nacional Potosi 5-3. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bolivar had 51% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 49%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.27 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bolivar and 2.00 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Bolivar 5-3 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 61%, draw 22%, Nacional Potosi 16%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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