Aurora 1-0 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 Nov 2024

Aurora
1-0 HT 0-0
The Strongest
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Aurora vs The Strongest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v The Strongest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.09/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.19
-46% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.3 Crosses 14.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Aurora vs The Strongest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-3D-2L
AWAY The Strongest
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
249 Passes 311
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.07.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
05.11.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-3 HT 0-2 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
10.08.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
07.05.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.10.2022 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
21.05.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ

Aurora 1-0 The Strongest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-0
AWAY The Strongest
1.81 xG 0.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
229 Passes 422
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aurora vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora edged past The Strongest 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Aurora found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aurora had 39% of the ball to The Strongest's 61%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.81 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aurora's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aurora and 1.17 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Aurora vs The Strongest?

Aurora 1-0 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aurora 34%, draw 30%, The Strongest 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (The Strongest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
25 Nov 2024
00:30 Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi Analysis →