Galway United 3-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
19%
4.51
X/2
7%
9.02
X/X
9%
5.46
2/1
7%
21.25
2/2
10%
6.57
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.37/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.48
-14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.7 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 1.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
178 Passes 318
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2026 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-4 HT 1-2 Galway United Galway United İRL
27.02.2026 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
22.09.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.06.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.05.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
12.04.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
3-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.28 xG 1.67
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
252 Passes 297
30 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United edged past Sligo Rovers 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.28 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Galway United and 1.00 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Sligo Rovers?

Galway United 3-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Galway United 56%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →