NWS Spirit 3-1 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
55%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.94/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.80
-11% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. George Saints
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
28.03.2026 St. George Saints St. George Saints 0-3 HT 0-2 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
19.08.2025 St. George Saints St. George Saints 0-3 HT 0-3 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
10.08.2025 St. George Saints St. George Saints 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
26.04.2025 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-2 HT 1-1 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
13.07.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 0-2 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
06.04.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-3 HT 0-1 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit got the better of St. George Saints 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NWS Spirit as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for NWS Spirit and 0.83 for St. George Saints.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints?

NWS Spirit 3-1 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 56%, draw 21%, St. George Saints 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NWS Spirit), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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