Sport Recife 3-3 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.62
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.13
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.0 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-1 HT 2-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
29.06.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
04.09.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
20.05.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
14.11.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
17.08.2019 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
3-3
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.81 xG 1.39
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
372 Passes 113
23 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sport Recife and Botafogo SP shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Brazil - Serie B on 11 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.81 to 1.39.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sport Recife and 0.50 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

Sport Recife 3-3 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 47%, draw 31%, Botafogo SP 21%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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11 Jul 2026
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