Sport Recife 3-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.9pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.40/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.41
+33% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
20.9 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.16 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
04.09.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
20.05.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
14.11.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
17.08.2019 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
3-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.89 xG 0.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
356 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sport Recife beat Botafogo SP 3-1 in the Brazil - Serie B on 21 Oct 2024. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 41%.

On the day, Sport Recife had 55% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 45%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.30.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sport Recife have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sport Recife and 0.40 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

Sport Recife 3-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 53%, draw 24%, Botafogo SP 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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