Leones del Norte 1-0 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Jul 2026

Leones del Norte
1-0 HT 1-0
Uni. Catolica
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Leones del Norte vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leones del Norte v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 46%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.79/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.20
+83% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.7 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Leones del Norte vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones del Norte
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.24 xG 2.66
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
227 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
09.03.2026 Uni. Catolica 3-0 HT 1-0 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte EKV1
POST-MATCH Leones del Norte vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones del Norte edged past Uni. Catolica 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Uni. Catolica?

Leones del Norte 1-0 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones del Norte vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 29%, draw 25%, Uni. Catolica 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
11 Jul 2026
03:15 Tecnico Universitario vs Macara Analysis →
20:00 Manta vs Orense Analysis →
22:10 Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle Analysis →