TPS Turku 3-0 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.43
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
9%
5.55
X/2
8%
6.1
X/X
18%
4.78
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
11%
3.97
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
2.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.5 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oulu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.92 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
209 Passes 174
60% Pass Accuracy 54%
14 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2026 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
14.09.2019 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.07.2019 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
25.05.2019 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
01.09.2017 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
08.07.2017 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
3-0
AWAY Oulu
2.18 xG 0.43
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
303 Passes 364
22 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ TPS Turku vs Oulu
Match summary & frequently asked questions

TPS Turku ran out comfortable winners over Oulu 3-0 in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.18 to 0.43.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for TPS Turku and 0.17 for Oulu.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs Oulu?

TPS Turku 3-0 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 43%, draw 30%, Oulu 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ BTTS Yes
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