Oulu 1-0 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.19
X/2
9%
10.35
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
11%
8.07
2/X
5%
16.0
Value flag · 1/X at 14.3 — our 11% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
58%
-14.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.06/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.75
-12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
17.8 Crosses 23.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
14.09.2019 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.07.2019 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
25.05.2019 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
01.09.2017 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
08.07.2017 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.05.2017 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-0
AWAY TPS Turku
0.72 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
174 Passes 209
54% Pass Accuracy 60%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oulu vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu nicked a narrow win over TPS Turku 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oulu had 49% of the ball to TPS Turku's 51%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Oulu and 0.67 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Oulu vs TPS Turku?

Oulu 1-0 TPS Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oulu 44%, draw 29%, TPS Turku 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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