Gnistan 5-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 16 May 2026

Gnistan
5-0 HT 1-0
Jaro
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2026

Gnistan vs Jaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 34% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.09
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.94
X/2
12%
6.47
X/X
16%
4.57
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.68
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gnistan v Jaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 33%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.47/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.84
+6% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +72%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.8 Crosses 10.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.9

Gnistan vs Jaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.96 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 164
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
38 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
24.05.2025 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
20.08.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
19.07.2023 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
12.08.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
12.06.2022 Jaro Jaro 0-2 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2

Gnistan 5-0 Jaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
5-0
AWAY Jaro
1.29 xG 0.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
320 Passes 392
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan ran out comfortable winners over Jaro 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gnistan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gnistan had 46% of the ball to Jaro's 54%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.29 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gnistan and 1.33 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Jaro?

Gnistan 5-0 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 38%, draw 27%, Jaro 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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