Daegu 3-2 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.40
+21% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 22.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Seongnam
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 0.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 372
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 4-4 HT 0-2 Daegu Daegu GKOK
07.09.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
18.06.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
11.03.2022 Daegu Daegu 3-1 HT 1-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
04.09.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
28.08.2021 Daegu Daegu 3-1 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
3-2
AWAY Seongnam
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
276 Passes 278
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu squeezed past Seongnam 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Daegu as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Daegu and 1.17 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Seongnam?

Daegu 3-2 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Daegu 49%, draw 28%, Seongnam 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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