Ansan Greeners 2-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
64%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
2.74
6+ Goals
7%
7.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 30% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
64%
Away Win
68%
-4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 72%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.87/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.79
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses 22.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 406
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
09.08.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-1 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
22.02.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
03.11.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
30.06.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
17.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
2-1
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
3 Total Shots 38
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 16
259 Passes 377
1 Crosses 51
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners edged past Suwon Bluewings 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Suwon Bluewings at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 3-38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.50 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings?

Ansan Greeners 2-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 13%, draw 23%, Suwon Bluewings 64%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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