Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hwaseong v Paju Citizen — Team-Based Signals
Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Hwaseong
GK3L
0-0
HT 0-0
Paju Citizen
GK3L
3-0
HT 1-0
Hwaseong
GK3L
1-1
HT 1-0
Paju Citizen
GK3L
Hwaseong 1-2 Paju Citizen — Actual Match Statistics
Paju Citizen edged past Hwaseong 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hwaseong at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, shots finished 16-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.
What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
Hwaseong 1-2 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 55%, draw 20%, Paju Citizen 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.