Paju Citizen 0-2 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
0.91/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.14
-18% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
07.04.2024 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
15.07.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
02.04.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
29.10.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
05.06.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
01.10.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong beat Paju Citizen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paju Citizen and 0.83 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Paju Citizen 0-2 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 31%, draw 27%, Hwaseong 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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