Busan Transportation 2-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.95
Over 2.5
62%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.5pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 54%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.28/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.14
+17% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Changwon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
07.04.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.10.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 1-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
02.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
27.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
15.07.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
01.05.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation nicked a narrow win over Changwon City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Changwon City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.17 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?

Busan Transportation 2-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 30%, draw 25%, Changwon City 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Changwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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