Ansan Greeners 0-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.48
6+ Goals
7%
13.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-10.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.5pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 67%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.00
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
17.03.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
12.04.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-3 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings edged past Ansan Greeners 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ansan Greeners and 2.00 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings?

Ansan Greeners 0-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 24%, draw 23%, Suwon Bluewings 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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