Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 15%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.10/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.64
-36% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
22.7 Crosses 11.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
465 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.06.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
17.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
17.03.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
12.04.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-3 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
2-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
387 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings squeezed past Ansan Greeners 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 54% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.50 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Ansan Greeners?

Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 55%, draw 24%, Ansan Greeners 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ BTTS No
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