Seongnam 1-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 56%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.15/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.49
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +107%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
30.03.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
30.08.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-4 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
09.07.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
03.05.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
1-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
446 Passes 220
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam and Gimpo Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gimpo Citizen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Seongnam had 63% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 37%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seongnam and 1.40 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Gimpo Citizen?

Seongnam 1-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 27%, draw 29%, Gimpo Citizen 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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