Aalesund 2-2 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 Jul 2026

Aalesund
2 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Molde
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Aalesund vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.38
Over Pick
65%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
15%
4.82
2-3
43%
1.92
4-5
31%
2.67
6+
11%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.65
1/2
3%
21.25
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
10%
7.36
X/2 ✗
17%
5.23
X/X
13%
5.59
2/1
2%
28.0
2/2
29%
2.74
2/X
5%
11.9
Value flag · X/2 at 5.23 — our 17% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Aalesund v Molde — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aalesund The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde The Market 49%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.38 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.94
1.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Aalesund vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Molde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.13 xG 2.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
304 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.05.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
03.05.2023 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
18.09.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
16.05.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 0-2 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
06.12.2020 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
16.06.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 1-4 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR

Aalesund 2-2 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalesund
2 - 2
AWAY Molde
0.70 xG 1.92
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
337 Passes 391
25 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Aalesund vs Molde
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aalesund and Molde traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.70 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Aalesund against 2.50 for Molde.

Aalesund vs Molde Result & Final Score

Aalesund 2 - 2 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aalesund vs Molde Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 27%, draw 24%, Molde 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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