Fredrikstad 0-2 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 Jul 2026

Fredrikstad
0 - 2 HT 0 - 0
Lilleström
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Fredrikstad vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.18
Over
57%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.51
No
40%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.16
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
26%
2.86
6+
8%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.41
1/2 ✗
3%
23.5
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
11%
6.93
X/2
14%
5.45
X/X
16%
5.02
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
24%
3.02
2/X
6%
11.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.5 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Fredrikstad v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fredrikstad The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.27 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
24 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1

Fredrikstad vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lilleström
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.06 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 350
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.05.2025 Lilleström Lilleström 1-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
20.10.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
20.05.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 0-3 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
27.01.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
01.09.2012 Lilleström Lilleström 1-2 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
09.07.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-4 HT 1-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR

Fredrikstad 0-2 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
0 - 2
AWAY Lilleström
0.89 xG 1.27
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
541 Passes 326
41 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Fredrikstad vs Lilleström
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lilleström took care of Fredrikstad 2-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.89 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Fredrikstad against 1.50 for Lilleström.

Fredrikstad vs Lilleström Result & Final Score

Fredrikstad 0 - 2 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fredrikstad vs Lilleström Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 30%, draw 28%, Lilleström 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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