Lilleström 2-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.23
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
31%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
395 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.09.2012 Lilleström Lilleström 1-2 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
09.07.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-4 HT 1-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
27.11.2011 Lilleström Lilleström 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
06.05.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
26.09.2009 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
14.06.2009 Lilleström Lilleström 4-2 HT 3-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
2-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström squeezed past Fredrikstad 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lilleström had 51% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 49%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lilleström and 1.50 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Fredrikstad?

Lilleström 2-1 Fredrikstad in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 43%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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