Tromsö 4-0 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 Jul 2026

Tromsö
4 - 0 HT 3 - 0
Valerenga
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Tromsö vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.69
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
24%
3.09
6+
6%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.23
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
19%
4.39
X/2
7%
9.15
X/X
14%
5.23
2/1 ✗
3%
22.25
2/2
10%
6.93
2/X
5%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Tromsö v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tromsö The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.77 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.79
Average Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2

Tromsö vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Valerenga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
460 Passes 363
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
31.05.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.05.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOK
03.12.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
09.07.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 0-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
21.08.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Tromsö 4-0 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
4 - 0
AWAY Valerenga
2.50 xG 1.10
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
325 Passes 555
17 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Tromsö vs Valerenga
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tromsö swept aside Valerenga 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 13-18, expected goals 2.50 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Tromsö against 0.83 for Valerenga.

Tromsö vs Valerenga Result & Final Score

Tromsö 4 - 0 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tromsö vs Valerenga Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 57%, draw 24%, Valerenga 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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