Fredrikstad vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fredrikstad v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals
Fredrikstad vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Fredrikstad
NOR
1-2
HT 0-0
Fredrikstad
NOR
3-4
HT 1-2
Lilleström
NOR
0-0
HT 0-0
Fredrikstad
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Lilleström
NOR
Fredrikstad 2-1 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics
Fredrikstad edged past Lilleström 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fredrikstad had 47% of the ball to Lilleström's 53%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.06 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.33 for Lilleström.
What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Lilleström?
Fredrikstad 2-1 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Lilleström?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 41%, draw 31%, Lilleström 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.