Rosenborg 1-2 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 Oct 2024

Rosenborg
1-2 HT 0-1
Brann
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Rosenborg vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.73
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.06
X/2
8%
7.35
X/X
10%
5.49
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
15%
4.6
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · X/1 at 5.06 — our 23% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosenborg v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.59/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.20
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
17.7 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Rosenborg vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brann
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.58 xG 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
295 Passes 404
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.02.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-2 Brann Brann HAZ
29.05.2023 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
03.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
06.11.2021 Brann Brann 2-2 HT 2-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
20.05.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-2 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR

Rosenborg 1-2 Brann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-2
AWAY Brann
1.04 xG 3.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
324 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann edged past Rosenborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rosenborg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Rosenborg had 56% of the ball to Brann's 44%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.04 to 3.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brann's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosenborg and 2.33 for Brann.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Brann?

Rosenborg 1-2 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 49%, draw 23%, Brann 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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