HamKam 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.08
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
12%
5.39
X/2
12%
6.53
X/X
13%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
16%
4.02
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.25/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.51
-6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.9 Crosses 21.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.74 xG 1.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
205 Passes 432
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 42
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-7 HT 0-5 HamKam HamKam NOR
16.03.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 HAZ
24.09.2023 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
16.07.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-3 HT 2-3 HamKam HamKam NOR
04.09.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
26.06.2022 HamKam HamKam 3-2 HT 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
0-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
458 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 got the better of HamKam 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sarpsborg 08 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 60% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 40%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HamKam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for HamKam and 1.33 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08?

HamKam 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HamKam 38%, draw 28%, Sarpsborg 08 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HamKam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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