Western Mass Pioneers 2-4 Vermont Green — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.46
No
31%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.2pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.2pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.0pp
69%
BTTS Yes
64%
+4.7pp
31%
BTTS No
36%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vermont Green EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +87%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Vermont Green
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
12.07.2025 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 2-2 HT 1-0 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
18.06.2025 Vermont Green Vermont Green 2-0 HT 1-0 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
08.07.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
18.06.2023 Vermont Green Vermont Green 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
2-4
AWAY Vermont Green
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vermont Green got the better of Western Mass Pioneers 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vermont Green as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Western Mass Pioneers had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Western Mass Pioneers and 1.00 for Vermont Green.

What was the final score of Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green?

Western Mass Pioneers 2-4 Vermont Green in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vermont Green win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Western Mass Pioneers 27%, draw 17%, Vermont Green 56%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vermont Green), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vermont Green) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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