Servette 0-6 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.81
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
9%
7.12
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
17%
4.79
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.83/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.54
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.8 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Basel
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
12.11.2023 Servette Servette 4-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
21.10.2023 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
25.05.2023 Servette Servette 3-3 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
19.02.2023 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
16.10.2022 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
0-6
AWAY Basel
1.22 xG 4.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 5
357 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 37
27 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Servette vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel ran out comfortable winners over Servette 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Servette at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Servette had 55% of the ball to Basel's 45%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 1.22 to 4.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Servette and 1.33 for Basel.

What was the final score of Servette vs Basel?

Servette 0-6 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Servette 42%, draw 26%, Basel 32%. The final score 0-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5
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