St. Gallen 1-0 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
5.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.03 — our 28% vs market 15.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
21%
4.06
X/2
12%
10.65
X/X
10%
6.41
2/1
7%
20.05
2/2
7%
7.36
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
2.08/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.70
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.9 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 212
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
28.10.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-1 HT 3-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
23.09.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
25.05.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
05.03.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
05.11.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-0
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.52 xG 0.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
338 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen squeezed past Grasshoppers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 54% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 46%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.52 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Gallen and 1.17 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Grasshoppers?

St. Gallen 1-0 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 51%, draw 24%, Grasshoppers 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ BTTS No
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