Grasshoppers 1-1 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.63
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
10%
6.77
X/2
13%
4.96
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
32.0
2/2
12%
2.98
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.20/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.45
+39% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
16.9 Crosses 19.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.48 xG 1.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
199 Passes 272
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-1 HT 3-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
23.09.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
25.05.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
05.03.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
05.11.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
06.08.2022 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-2 HT 2-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
1-1
AWAY St. Gallen
1.25 xG 2.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 29
4 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 7
265 Passes 270
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers and St. Gallen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 50% of the ball to St. Gallen's 50%, shots finished 15-29, expected goals 1.25 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.83 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs St. Gallen?

Grasshoppers 1-1 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 39%, draw 29%, St. Gallen 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grasshoppers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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