Lugano 2-0 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.1
X/1
14%
3.77
X/2
8%
13.5
X/X
9%
6.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.6
2/2
11%
9.86
2/X
6%
17.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.71/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.55
+11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.6 Crosses 11.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Yverdon
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.28 xG 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
432 Passes 294
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 0-5 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
13.08.2023 Lugano Lugano 6-1 HT 3-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
2-0
AWAY Yverdon
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano got the better of Yverdon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugano had 59% of the ball to Yverdon's 41%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for Lugano and 0.50 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Yverdon?

Lugano 2-0 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lugano 54%, draw 22%, Yverdon 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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