Basel vs Winterthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel v Winterthur — Team-Based Signals
Basel vs Winterthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 1-1
Winterthur
İSV
1-4
HT 1-2
Basel
İSV
2-0
HT 1-0
Winterthur
İSV
3-1
HT 2-0
Winterthur
İSV
1-1
HT 1-0
Basel
İSV
Basel 1-1 Winterthur — Actual Match Statistics
Basel and Winterthur shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Basel at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Basel had 58% of the ball to Winterthur's 42%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 1.54 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Basel and 1.00 for Winterthur.
What was the final score of Basel vs Winterthur?
Basel 1-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel vs Winterthur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Basel 42%, draw 24%, Winterthur 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.