Basel 2-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.74
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
9%
6.81
X/2
13%
4.78
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
16%
2.89
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.21/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.00
+1% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
14.9 Crosses 20.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
371 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Servette Servette 4-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
21.10.2023 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
25.05.2023 Servette Servette 3-3 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
19.02.2023 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
16.10.2022 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
24.07.2022 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
2-1
AWAY Servette
1.72 xG 0.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
248 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Basel vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel squeezed past Servette 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Basel made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Basel had 40% of the ball to Servette's 60%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.72 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Basel and 1.83 for Servette.

What was the final score of Basel vs Servette?

Basel 2-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Basel 34%, draw 30%, Servette 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Servette) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✓ BTTS Yes
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