Stade Ouchy 0-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
14%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
9%
7.52
X/2
15%
4.57
X/X
14%
5.06
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.63
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 51%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Winterthur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
423 Passes 216
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-3 HT 0-2 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
23.09.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 2-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
02.04.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
04.03.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-1 HT 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
05.11.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
23.07.2021 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
0-1
AWAY Winterthur
0.15 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
349 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur squeezed past Stade Ouchy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Winterthur as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 52% of the ball to Winterthur's 48%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.15 to 1.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Winterthur's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.50 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur?

Stade Ouchy 0-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Winterthur win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 26%, draw 24%, Winterthur 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winterthur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Winterthur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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