Cercle Brugge 4-1 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.8
X/1
21%
3.91
X/2
8%
11.6
X/X
9%
6.46
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
6%
8.29
2/X
7%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
2.08/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.00
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.8 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEK
19.02.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
27.07.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
04.04.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
13.01.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
26.09.2018 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEK
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge cruised past Beerschot VA 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cercle Brugge as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.83 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA?

Cercle Brugge 4-1 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 54%, draw 25%, Beerschot VA 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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