Sporting Charleroi 1-0 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
10%
5.99
X/2
12%
5.29
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.36
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.57/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.53
+8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
15.6 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 2.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 396
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Gent Gent 5-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
05.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
19.01.2023 Gent Gent 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
04.09.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
21.05.2022 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
30.04.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-0
AWAY Gent
2.16 xG 0.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
238 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi nicked a narrow win over Gent 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 41% of the ball to Gent's 59%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.16 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Charleroi's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.17 for Gent.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Gent?

Sporting Charleroi 1-0 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 32%, draw 27%, Gent 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gent), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
11 Aug 2024
14:30 Genk vs Club Brugge Analysis →
17:00 Royal Antwerp vs St. Truidense Analysis →
20:15 Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA Analysis →