Neman Grodno 1-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.66/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.49
-12% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gomel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Gomel Gomel 2-3 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
25.01.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel HAZ
22.08.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-2 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
09.04.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-3 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
30.10.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
03.07.2022 Gomel Gomel 3-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
1-1
AWAY Gomel
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno and Gomel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Neman Grodno at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 61% of the ball to Gomel's 39%, shots finished 24-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Neman Grodno and 1.67 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Gomel?

Neman Grodno 1-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 50%, draw 27%, Gomel 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neman Grodno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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