HB Koge 0-2 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.23
1/2
6%
20.0
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
11%
11.7
X/2
20%
3.92
X/X
12%
6.69
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.87
2/X
6%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.42/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.05
+7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.2
14.2 Crosses 23.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
355 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.04.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 5-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
03.11.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-4 HT 1-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
04.08.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-0 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.11.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
23.07.2021 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-2 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-2
AWAY AC Horsens
0.22 xG 4.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 2
389 Passes 445
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 52
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens beat HB Koge 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 47% of the ball to AC Horsens's 53%, shots finished 6-28, expected goals 0.22 to 4.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HB Koge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HB Koge and 1.17 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs AC Horsens?

HB Koge 0-2 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 27%, draw 23%, AC Horsens 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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