SonderjyskE 0-2 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
8%
10.5
X/2
12%
3.9
X/X
13%
5.76
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.02
2/X
6%
15.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.21/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.02
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 84%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
14.5 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.97 xG 2.96
40% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
254 Passes 476
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE HAZ
17.10.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
22.08.2021 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
15.02.2021 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
29.11.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-3 HT 0-2 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
26.05.2020 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-1 HT 3-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE HAZ
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag saw off SonderjyskE 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kopenhag as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kopenhag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.50 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Kopenhag?

SonderjyskE 0-2 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 21%, draw 28%, Kopenhag 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kopenhag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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