Ilves Tampere 2-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
15%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
23%
3.77
X/2
10%
12.0
X/X
9%
6.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
10%
9.18
2/X
5%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.92/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.58
+3% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.3 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
27.09.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
15.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
05.04.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
02.10.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-3 HT 1-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
21.08.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-5 HT 1-4 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
2-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
2.72 xG 0.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
699 Passes 302
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 5
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ilves Tampere beat IFK Mariehamn 2-0 in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11 Aug 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 68% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 32%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.72 to 0.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn?

Ilves Tampere 2-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 52%, draw 20%, IFK Mariehamn 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
11 Aug 2024
17:00 Haka vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →