Haka 2-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.68
1/2
9%
23.15
1/X
4%
13.45
X/1
7%
8.04
X/2
15%
4.5
X/X
15%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.51
2/X
5%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 53%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.33/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.88
+56% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.0 Crosses 21.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.64 xG 1.89
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
231 Passes 584
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
02.02.2024 Haka Haka 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
27.08.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
03.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
18.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
05.10.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
2-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.29 xG 0.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 473
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka and KuPS Kuopio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Haka had 42% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 58%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.29 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haka and 1.17 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Haka 2-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haka 30%, draw 24%, KuPS Kuopio 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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