Samgurali 0-1 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.16/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.83
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dila Gori
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
07.03.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
28.11.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-0 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.09.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
13.04.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-3 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
0-1
AWAY Dila Gori
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori edged past Samgurali 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Dila Gori made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Samgurali had 52% of the ball to Dila Gori's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samgurali and 1.00 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Dila Gori?

Samgurali 0-1 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 31%, draw 28%, Dila Gori 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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