Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 Aug 2024

Go Ahead Eagles
0-2 HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
14%
4.73
X/2
16%
7.32
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
5.21
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.92/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.57
+27% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.1 Crosses 18.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
22.09.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
23.04.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
07.01.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-2 HT 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
24.04.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
31.10.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-3 HT 0-2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL

Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
0-2
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.59 xG 0.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
430 Passes 200
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard got the better of Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Go Ahead Eagles at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 65% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 35%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.59 to 0.86 — on chances, Go Ahead Eagles could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.67 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?

Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 47%, draw 23%, Fortuna Sittard 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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