Sparta Rotterdam 0-0 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
20%
5.46
2-3 Goals
42%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.46 — our 20% vs market 13.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.85
X/1
21%
3.77
X/2
8%
14.6
X/X
7%
7.37
2/1
9%
20.1
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
7%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.64/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.06
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
25.0 Crosses 14.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Heracles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
278 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
02.12.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
15.05.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
21.08.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
21.03.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
25.10.2020 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0-0
AWAY Heracles
0.54 xG 0.54
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
455 Passes 167
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam and Heracles played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Sparta Rotterdam carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 68% of the ball to Heracles's 32%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.00 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles?

Sparta Rotterdam 0-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 56%, draw 23%, Heracles 21%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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