Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.1
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
15%
5.75
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
10%
7.4
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.77/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.71
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
24.4 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Heracles
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 1.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 408
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
15.05.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
21.08.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
21.03.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
25.10.2020 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
08.12.2019 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-2
AWAY Heracles
1.42 xG 1.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
359 Passes 284
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles nicked a narrow win over Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 55% of the ball to Heracles's 45%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.42 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.67 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 47%, draw 29%, Heracles 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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