Twente 2-0 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Apr 2024

Twente
2-0 HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Twente vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 25% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.72
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.9
X/1
22%
3.52
X/2
6%
14.35
X/X
13%
6.41
2/1
13%
22.7
2/2
7%
11.55
2/X
5%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.87
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
24.4 Crosses 15.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Twente vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.64 xG 1.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
11.03.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
14.08.2022 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
07.05.2022 Twente Twente 1-2 HT 1-2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
14.08.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
01.05.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-0 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL

Twente 2-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
2-0
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.97 xG 0.10
76% Ball Possession 24%
26 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
629 Passes 142
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
43 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Twente vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente saw off Fortuna Sittard 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Twente had 76% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 24%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 1.97 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Twente and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Twente vs Fortuna Sittard?

Twente 2-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Twente 56%, draw 27%, Fortuna Sittard 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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