PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PEC Zwolle v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
2-0
HT 0-0
PEC Zwolle
HOK
0-2
HT 0-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Excelsior
HOL
5-0
HT 4-0
Excelsior
HAZ
1-1
HT 1-0
Excelsior
HOL
PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
PEC Zwolle edged past Excelsior 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had PEC Zwolle as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, PEC Zwolle had 53% of the ball to Excelsior's 47%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 3.20 to 1.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PEC Zwolle's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PEC Zwolle and 0.83 for Excelsior.
What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior?
PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 48%, draw 25%, Excelsior 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.