Forge 3-0 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 36%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.34/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
-100% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
26.0 Crosses 12.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.13 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
432 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 4-3 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
25.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
08.10.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
27.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
26.06.2023 Forge Forge 4-3 HT 3-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.05.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
3-0
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.29 xG 0.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forge vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge swept aside Atletico Ottawa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forge had 40% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 60%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.29 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forge and 1.83 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Forge 3-0 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Forge 43%, draw 30%, Atletico Ottawa 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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