JFK Ventspils 4-0 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 27%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/6.00
-57% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -65%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.04.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-2 HT 2-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
06.08.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-1 HT 1-0 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils swept aside Rezekne / BJSS 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JFK Ventspils and 1.50 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Rezekne / BJSS?

JFK Ventspils 4-0 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 55%, draw 23%, Rezekne / BJSS 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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